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One of the most startling comparisons is the relationship between new handgun sales in the United States and the homicide rates. The correlation (0.9815, where 1.00 is a perfect correlation) certainly provides extremely strong support for the argument "handgun sales = homicides", although it does not, by itself, establish causation.
Homicides and Handgun Sales
1950-1997 |
|
 |
 |
Year |
 |
Homicide Rate per 1,000 |
Handgun Sales in 1,000's |
 |
|
|
| 1950 |
5.3 |
307 |
| 1951 |
4.9 |
398 |
| 1952 |
5.2 |
355 |
| 1953 |
4.8 |
327 |
| 1954 |
4.8 |
362 |
| 1955 |
4.5 |
451 |
| 1956 |
4.6 |
460 |
| 1957 |
4.5 |
440 |
| 1958 |
4.5 |
519 |
| 1959 |
4.6 |
475 |
| 1960 |
4.7 |
447 |
| 1961 |
4.7 |
431 |
| 1962 |
4.8 |
453 |
| 1963 |
4.9 |
491 |
| 1964 |
5.1 |
666 |
| 1965 |
5.5 |
700 |
| 1966 |
5.9 |
926 |
| 1967 |
6.8 |
1,259 |
| 1968 |
7.3 |
1,255 |
| 1969 |
7.7 |
1,394 |
| 1970 |
8.3 |
1,448 |
| 1971 |
9.1 |
1,805 |
| 1972 |
9.4 |
1,734 |
| 1973 |
9.7 |
1,715 |
| 1974 |
10.1 |
2,024 |
| 1975 |
9.9 |
1,833 |
| 1976 |
9.0 |
1,880 |
| 1977 |
9.1 |
1,877 |
| 1978 |
9.2 |
2,124 |
| 1979 |
10.0 |
2,370 |
| 1980 |
10.7 |
2,537 |
| 1981 |
10.3 |
2,629 |
| 1982 |
9.6 |
1,967 |
| 1983 |
8.6 |
1,680 |
| 1984 |
8.4 |
1,550 |
| 1985 |
8.4 |
1,428 |
| 1986 |
9.0 |
1,659 |
| 1987 |
8.7 |
1,746 |
| 1988 |
9.0 |
2,031 |
| 1989 |
9.3 |
1,839 |
| 1990 |
10.0 |
1,838 |
| 1991 |
10.5 |
2,010 |
| 1992 |
10.0 |
2,825 |
| 1993 |
10.1 |
2,582 |
| 1994 |
9.6 |
1,723 |
| 1995 |
8.7 |
1,484 |
| 1996 |
7.9 |
1,407 |
| 1997 |
7.4 |
1,240 |
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